National hair changes appoint, the data that national statistic bureau published a few days ago shows, with photograph of the corresponding period was compared last year, this year 2 quarters whole nation 70 big in urban house sale price rises 9.2% . Build housing sale price to rise compared to the same period among them 10.1% , go up than going up the quarter is low 1.7 percent; Secondhand housing sale price rises compared to the same period 8.9% , go up than going up the quarter is low 2.6 percent. (Sent on July 21 change appoint website) of data of city of this group of buildings announcing is ” of timely rain of a “ . Wait like me not quite know economy to cannot sentence building city to go beforehand more the person of situation, be saved by ” , “ by the “ inflection point of certain economist of late city must be in a complete mess by ” deceive. Going up forum of week of 6 some estate on, economist Zhao dawn to at present Chinese building city gave out the most pessimistic view: “ building city is in be between the beetle and the block condition, do bad it is the 2nd stock market. ” enough exaggerate sth just to scare people? Actually, come nearly one year, hold this kind of point of view and the economist that government of loudly appeal to the public helps city theres is no lack of its person, although what they say ” of “ inflection point, “ steeps fall ” , “ is broken be widely divergent for the as daily as us knowledge such as ” , but saying person is much, and it is economist says over, we must half believing and half doubting. Fortunately the country published building city relevant data about ministries and commissions, poked envelop the suspicion in one's mind in mind. This moment, I aux would rather believe these data, and the argument that does not wish to believe certain economist, because these data and we are most of the person personal experience consistent. Those who be worth ponder is, those loud advocate “ save city to talk the certain economist of ” , face data of city of this group of buildings to should be made why impressions? Feel a bit awkward? More worth while and thoughtful is, does the “ of these economist save city to be occupied by ” why and come? It is investigation and study causes judgement error not quite, still see tree does not see a forest only, or is to stem from some kind of unbeknown, inadequacy and the purpose that alien, and public of intended subreption, promiscuous seeing and hearing, misdirect? At least a such facts are worth to pay close attention to: The “ of these economist saves city to talk the apiration height of ” and estate business to agree, and they are to suffer mostly invite when attending forum of a certain estate, publish this brilliant views. The house price of a few city such as Shenzhen drops really truly, but that is specific city only, do not affect old structure of bullish of whole of Chinese building city. The house price of most city appeared to go up really a trend that puts delay, but this just goes up fast slow problem, is not to rise with dropping problem. House price rises put delay and even house price to drop, wait in me bearing the bitter crop common people of tall house price looks, be building city regression reason nevertheless begin, or it is building city bubble undone augural, or the token that is shrink of estate business sudden huge profits, or it is the hope place that ordinary common people cans afford a room, although this is planted,the hope looks still vague in that way. Have pity on another name for Yunnan Province of that economist Xu to celebrate, bet dozen of fault place, the building city that takes Shenzhen unluckily bets, change other city, he wins decided. Of course, xu Dian celebrates force to hold out Shenzhen building city, also somebody suspects his bitter ” of “ intention fine. That is to say, a few economist are nowadays in ordinary people memory is this kind of figure: No matter you say house price rises with do not go up, people believes you very hard, suspect you have the objective of some kind of hidden, suspect you and estate business wear a pants. A few economist already were changed by demon it seems that, can who can this blame? Do obeisance to “ to be central ” and place of market economy progress to grant with economic construction, economics becomes “ to show in China learn ” , but our a few economist, had not gained the success with pretty what in sphere of learning, the buttock sits to group of a certain interest there went, pretend to be breathtaking language, do not cherish oneself feather, name is big, public letter force dropped however. Becoming an intellect is social conscience no longer, believe expert learned man no longer when people, such society should have how sad!
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